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What is NPV

Imagine you're considering investing in a business, buying into a franchise, starting a new project, or evaluating a company or financial product. The big question is: Should you invest or not? Often, the future income from these investments isn't consistent. For example, you might invest $100,000 today and receive $1,500 in the first year, $2,500 in the second, $2,000 in the third—and maybe sell the project in the fifth year.

So how do you know if this investment will be profitable or deliver the returns you expect? This is where Net Present Value (NPV) comes in. NPV helps you evaluate whether the future cash flows of an investment are worth more than the money you're putting in today.

 Why Do We Need NPV? (The "Time is Money" Problem)

Imagine a company is considering investing in a new project. The decision to invest depends largely on the expected return from that project. One key metric used to measure this return is the Internal Rate of Return (IRR). Alongside IRR, another important financial tool comes into play: the Net Present Value (NPV).

IRR tells us the percentage return the company can expect, while NPV helps determine the actual value the project adds today, based on future cash flows. These cash flows represent the money going out (costs) and the money coming in (profits) over time. We'll look at an example later to make this clearer.

Using NPV, a company can assess whether a project is worth pursuing. If it has already invested, NPV also reveals how much value the project has generated. Similarly, when one company considers acquiring another, NPV is used to evaluate whether the purchase is financially beneficial.

In short, IRR and NPV are powerful tools that help companies make informed investment decisions, assess project profitability, and even determine the value of entire businesses.

What You Need Before You Calculate NPV

The first step in evaluating any project is to determine the initial cash outflow—how much money needs to be invested upfront. Next, we estimate the net cash flows the project is expected to generate over time. We also consider the terminal cash flow, which reflects the estimated value of the project if it's sold after a few years. Then comes the discount rate—this represents our expected rate of return. For instance, if management requires at least a 12% return to consider the investment worthwhile, that becomes our benchmark.

Once we have all these components, we can calculate the Net Present Value (NPV). A positive NPV indicates that the project is financially viable, making it easier to decide whether or not to proceed with the investment.

NPV in Action: A Step-by-Step Example

Imagine a car rental company considering whether to expand its operations to a new route. The decision hinges on whether the expected returns from this investment justify the cost. Let's say the company decides to purchase a vehicle for $1,000,000 (or $1000K). To evaluate this investment, we'll map the cash flows on a timeline over five years to determine whether the returns are sufficient.

We start with Day 0—today—when the company makes the initial investment of -$1000K.

Next, we chart the expected annual cash inflows:

Year 1: $150K

Year 2: $250K

Year 3: $300K

Year 4: $250K

Year 5: $200K

At the end of Year 5, the company sells the car for $400K. This amount is called the terminal cash flow, while the yearly earnings are considered operational cash flows.

So, in Year 5, the total cash inflow is $200K (operational) + $400K (terminal) = $600K.

By laying this out on a timeline, we can better analyze whether the investment delivers a satisfactory return.

Let’s break it down simply: we invested a total of $1,000K and expect to receive $1,500K in return. That looks like a $500K profit, right? Sounds like a great deal—but it's not quite that straightforward.

Here's why: that $500K gain isn't immediate. It's spread out over five years, which means we can't treat it as a lump sum profit today. To properly assess whether this is a good investment, we need to calculate the present value of those future cash flows.

In other words, we need to bring all future cash flows back to today’s terms—this is done using a concept called discounting.

Let’s assume a discount rate of 12%, which reflects our expected rate of return. That means:

r = 12/100 = 0.12

The formula to calculate Present Value (PV) is:

PV = FV / (1 + r)^n

Now, let’s apply this formula to each year’s expected cash flow:

Year 1: PV = $150K / (1 + 0.12)^1 = $133,929

Year 2: PV = $200K / (1 + 0.12)^2 = $159,439

Year 3: PV = $300K / (1 + 0.12)^3 = $213,534

Year 4: PV = $250K / (1 + 0.12)^4 = $158,879

Year 5: PV = $600K / (1 + 0.12)^5 = $340,456

Now, let’s calculate the Net Present Value (NPV):

NPV = -$1,000,000 + $133,929 + $159,439 + $213,534 + $158,879 + $340,456 = $6,237

Since the NPV is positive, that means the project is expected to generate more value than it costs—so yes, this is a worthwhile investment.

About the Author: Abhishek Lohar

B.Com Graduate and the Founder of Free Online Financial Calculator. I specialize in simplifying complex financial calculations and investment strategies. My mission is to ensure you can make confident financial decisions using our research-backed content and accurate calculators.

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Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.